Index
Wednesday
Jun292016

POLITICS (National): 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump, polling/"shy Trump voter"?: "Are the polls skewed against Donald Trump?" ....

* POLITICO (Steven Shepard):  "Are the polls skewed against Donald Trump?" - "The presumptive GOP nominee contends surveys aren't accurately measuring his support." -  From POLITICO:

Is there a pool of voters who are too embarrassed to admit to pollsters they’re voting for Donald Trump? As Trump consistently lags Hillary Clinton in general-election polls, his campaign is counting on it.The notion of the “shy Trump voter” refers to the theory that there’s a group of voters who won’t admit their support for Trump in phone surveys, but will actually choose the controversial, presumptive GOP presidential nominee this fall.

Earlier this month, the New York real estate mogul said at an event that he does “much better” in elections than in pre-election surveys, making a passing reference to the phenomenon known as the Bradley Effect — coined after the African-American mayor of Los Angeles who led in polls but lost unexpectedly in the 1982 California gubernatorial race. The idea that Trump might be under-polling was echoed again last week, after the United Kingdom voted narrowly to leave the European Union, despite polls showing the referendum to be a tossup — a campaign that centered on many of the same issues that Trump is touting in the U.S. presidential race.

But there’s little evidence that shy Trump voters actually exist. In the Republican primaries, he didn’t outperform his poll numbers relative to his leading challengers — and, until he ran away with the nomination in late April and May, he performed significantly worse than the polls suggested.

While the general election is more than four months away, the best real-world test of this theory also shows no indication Trump is poised to outrun his poll numbers: Trump’s average deficit against Clinton is actually smaller in surveys conducted by a live telephone interviewer than in automated or online polls without a live person on the line.

Overall, Clinton leads Trump by nearly 7 points, according to averages calculated by HuffPost Pollster and RealClearPolitics. That represents Clinton’s largest lead since before Trump knocked out the last contenders for the GOP nomination and surged into a tie with Clinton .....................

Wednesday
Jun292016

LOCAL GOVERNMENT: Los Angeles Police Dept., "LAPD officer was unjustified in killing a man who zapped his partner with a Taser, panel finds"; South Bay (L.A.), "Opponents of $300 million Redondo Beach waterfront overhaul file ballot initiative challenge"; San Francisco, homelessness, "S.F. opens new full-service center to get homeless off the streets" ....

***Various items relating to local issues/local government -- Northern California, Southern California....

* San Francisco Chronicle:  "S.F. opens new full-service center to get homeless off the streets"

* Daly Breeze:  "Opponents of $300 million Redondo Beach waterfront overhaul file ballot initiative challenge"

* Los Angeles Times:  "LAPD officer was unjustified in killing a man who zapped his partner with a Taser, panel finds"

Wednesday
Jun292016

SACRAMENTO: SB 1400, "Bill to limit tobacco sales in California can't even get a vote"; SB 899, "Bill to end gender disparity in retail pricing is withdrawn after pushback from industry lobbyists"; State Lands Commission/Diablo Canyon, "California land officials sign off on closing Diablo Canyon nuclear plant" .... 

Wednesday
Jun292016

L.A. CITY HALL: Development, Hollywood, apartment building, conversion to hotel: "Tenant activists lose fight against Hollywood building's conversion into a hotel" ....

* Los Angeles Times:  "Tenant activists lose fight against Hollywood building's conversion into a hotel" - From the LAT:

A Hollywood apartment building is on its way to becoming a hotel after Los Angeles lawmakers rejected the arguments of tenant activists who warned that it would worsen the city’s housing crisis. Property owner David Lesser plans to renovate the vacant building on Cherokee Avenue, a short walk from the bustle of Hollywood Boulevard, and turn it into a boutique hotel with two dozen rooms.

The City Council paved the way for the project to move forward Wednesday, the day after one of its committees rejected an appeal by Sylvie Shain, a Hollywood resident who said the city had not properly weighed the effects of losing the apartments.

The decision to deny the appeal and approve the environmental review for the project comes as Los Angeles politicians face mounting criticism over soaring rents – and are planning to ask voters to pay higher taxes to address the homelessness crisis ...................

Wednesday
Jun292016

LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Bay Area): San Francisco: "S.F. civil grand jury warns of costly maintenance backlog"; "Rec and Park gardener has Facebook meltdown over Dolores Park slobs"; "3 S.F. supervisors move to put tech tax on November ballot" ....  

***Various items relating to local issues/local government in and around the Bay Area....

* San Francisco Chronicle:  "3 S.F. supervisors move to put tech tax on November ballot"

* San Francisco Chronicle:  "S.F. civil grand jury warns of costly maintenance backlog"

* San Francisco Chronicle:  "Rec and Park gardener has Facebook meltdown over Dolores Park slobs" - "'They choose to use this park like a f--- dumpster.'"